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Paper: The future burden of obesity-related diseases in the 53 WHO European-Region countries and the impact of effective interventions: a modelling study
Date31 July 2014
Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are the major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. High body mass index (BMI) is one of the key risk factors associated with an increased likelihood of such NCDs as diabetes, cardiovascular disease, osteoarthritis and several cancers. A new paper published in BMJ Open looks at the future burden of obesity-related diseases in the 53 WHO Euro Region countries. 
For each of the 53 countries population BMI as well as morbidity and mortality of the associated NCDs have been projected to 2030 using sophisticated modelling software. The impact of BMI reduction interventions on the related NCDs incidence, prevalence and mortality in each country has been quantified and compared to BMI trends continuing without an intervention. The results of the modelling exercise showed that significant health gains could be achieved even at 1% mean population BMI reduction. 
  • Modelling

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